Denmark's Energy and Climate Outlook

The purpose of Denmark's Energy and Climate Outlook (DECO 2018) is to describe where Denmark stands and what challenges Denmark faces with regard to meeting its energy and climate policy targets.

DECO 2018 is therefore an important planning tool in setting Danish energy and climate policy, as well as an important reference for assessing the impacts of new policy initiatives.

Download DECO 2018

About DECO 2018

The document is an English translation of the original document in Danish published in April 2018. The details of the baseline projection included here are based on the assumption of a frozen policy scenario and include existing measures as of March 2018. On June 29th 2018, the Danish Government and all parties in Parliament agreed to a new set of measures to be introduced from 2020 to 2024. These measures, and any measures decided upon after March 2018, are not included in the current baseline projection, and will be included in the next Denmark’s Energy and Climate Outlook, which will be published in 2019.

Background material

Analysis of Hyperscale datacentres in Denmark - English summary report

Figures and Tables

Technical assumptions (In Danish)

Additional background reports and data (In Danish)

Baseline Projections 2017

The Danish Energy Agency has created new Baseline Projection scenario that show a development assuming that decided politics is implemented but with no further political instruments.

The projections consists of a main report (in English) and a  background report (in Danish only) with descriptions of method, assumption and results.

The main report can be found here: Danish Energy and Climate Outlook

Memo on new estimate of non-ETS deficit for the period 2021 to 2030

The background reports (in Danish only) can be found here

There are two different ways to assess the results of the Baseline Projections: the Danish method and the international method. The existence of two different forms is caused by the Danish obligation to reduce the overall greenhouse gas emissions measured as CO2-equivalents.

This includes CO2 from the final fuel consumption stated as the fuels sold in Denmark.

The UNFCCC-format differs from the national method by including border trade, but not international aviation. Furthermore, flaring is included in the international method.

In the national method private manufacturers are included as a separate item under electricity & district heating, while private manufactures in the international method are included as a part of final energy consumption under the respective industries. This does not include waste which is accounted for in decentralized plants.